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The Polls Thread

Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2025 11:32 am
by Statsman
Just a quiet corner for the poll anoraks among us to discuss the finer points of statistical analysis, margins of error, secular trends and temporary blips, and other matters of great moment.

And we had a poll in the Sindo which showed, once again, the relative stability of party standings since the GE, with the big three of SFFG sharing 60% of the decideds

Screenshot 2025-10-07 at 14.22.41.png
Screenshot 2025-10-07 at 14.22.41.png (55.96 KiB) Viewed 15237 times

https://bsky.app/profile/gavreilly.com/ ... eyjbtlvk2z

Given their relatively low slice of support, Aontú's + 2 and the Indos and others -2 are the only movements that fall outside of the MoE here, but are they a blip or a trend? We'l have to wait and see.

Re: The Polls Thread

Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2025 2:16 pm
by midlander12
Statsman wrote: Tue Oct 07, 2025 11:32 am Just a quiet corner for the poll anoraks among us to discuss the finer points of statistical analysis, margins of error, secular trends and temporary blips, and other matters of great moment.

And we had a poll in the Sindo which showed, once again, the relative stability of party standings since the GE, with the big three of SFFG sharing 60% of the decideds

https://bsky.app/profile/gavreilly.com/ ... e
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